Climate change is already a measurable reality posing significant social, economic and environmental risks and challenges globally. Change in ecosystem function and loss of biodiversity. Analysis the economic implications of climate change. This paper attempts to provide preliminary estimates based on secondary data from the findings of the vulnerability and adaptation study for the south african country study on climate change 1999. Climate change and south africas natural 3 resources 3. Impacts of climate change on health and wellbeing in south. The impacts of climate change on food security and health. One region of the world where the effects of climate change are being felt particularly hard is africa. Turpie, j, winkler h, spaldingfecher r, midgley g, editors. The assessment of the socio economic impacts of climate. Climate change impacts and adaptation in south africa. Collaboration between economic policy unit national treasury and world institute. Climate change, tourism and local economic development in.
South africas second national climate change report. Number of natural disasters in subsaharan africa since 1975 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1975 1978. Forests, rangelands and climate change in southern africa. Impact of climate change on food security and health in southern africa two of the most important issues impacted on by climate change described above in southern africa are food security. These climate impacts will also severely threaten local livelihoods tied extensively to. This will have an adverse impact on those economies relying on agriculture and natural resources. Assessing the economic impact of climate change in the smallscale aquaculture industry of ghana, west africa version 2. It focuses on how climate change affects different.
Aggregating impacts adds up the total impact of climate change across sectors andor regions ipcc, 2007a. This bibliography was generated on cite this for me on friday, may, 2016. As such south africa has the task of balancing the acceleration of. These are the sources and citations used to research the impact of climate change on south africa. Disasters, climate change, and economic development in sub. Economic impacts of climate change in south africa. A particular need is to develop south africas capacity to undertake integrated assessments of. It is therefore necessary to examine the economic impacts of. Many of these focus on the impact on the agricultural sector, while others provide preliminary. Measuring the economic impact of climate change on major. Our approach has been pragmatic and empirical in the main, but at the same.
In past analyses of effects of climate change on the south african ecosystems e. From a socioeconomic aspect, south africa is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change for a number of reasons. Because of the lack of economic, development, and institutional capacity, african countries are likely. The economic impact of climate change in southeast asia. Pdf on jan 1, 2002, jane turpie and others published economic impacts of climate change in south africa. This paper attempts to provide preliminary estimates based on secondary data from the findings of the vulnerability and. Potential impacts on the agriculture sector and the impacts that this might have on the local, national and regional sadc economies. Wires climate change climate change impacts in south africa box 1 long term adaptation scenarios ltas project south africa s 2011 national policy position on climate change emphasizes that socio economic risks resulting from a range of emission scenarios need to be better understood and quanti. Economic impacts of climate change for south africa. South africa s response to climate change was presented. Climate change, land degradation and desertification are expected to affect african countries.
In producing aggregate impacts, there are a number of difficulties, such as predicting the. Climate change will amplify existing stress on water availability in africa high confidence. This paper attempts to provide preliminary estimates based on secondary data from the findings of the vulnerability and adaptation study for the south african. Since the 2006 saeo, local and global research has advanced its understanding of the projected impacts of climate change. Development under climate change analytical work completed for. Wires climate change climate change impacts in south africa box 1 long term adaptation scenarios ltas project south africas 2011 national policy position on climate change. Modelling the economic impacts of climate change in south. Although climate change is a natural occurrence, human industrial and development activities over the past two centuries have caused changes in climate independent from. Disasters, climate change, and economic development in subsaharan africa 3 figure 1. Agricultural impacts the african union regards climate change as a very real threat to the future of the african continent, and one that. Keywords climate change impacts vulnerability subsaharan africa introduction africa has been identi. The major impacts of these projected changes in south africa during the 21st century are.
A preliminary analysis of unmitigated damage costs find, read and cite all the research. The economic consequences of climate change en oecd. The two largest economies in the subsaharan africa south africa and nigeria played some significant role in ameliorating the negative economic impact of climate change in the. We note that some steps have been taken to develop a multipronged strategy that cuts across health and.
Climate change is the disruption in the longterm seasonal weather patterns. Aec 2012 climate change and economic growth in africaan. Like many other developing countries, south africa is especially vulnerable to the impacts of climate change kreft, eckstein and melchior, 2017. The average temperature has risen around 1 degree celsius, or 1. This report provides a new detailed quantitative assessment of the consequences of climate change on economic growth through to 2060 and beyond. What are the predicted economic impacts of climate change in south africa. Zambeze river valley vietnam carbon tax in collaboration with nt current collaborative process in south africa to consider. Nevertheless, climate change and greenhouse related issues have not yet been given enough attention in the agricultural policies of south africa. Northern and southern africa would experience a decrease in gdp per capita approaching 10 per cent. Climate change is a major factor impacting upon local economic development futures.
South african researchers have studied the biophysical impacts of climate change, assessing, for example, the combined impacts of climate change and other drivers on biodiversity, and applying. Firstly, a large proportion of the population live in. Pdf economic impacts of climate change in south africa. Climate change, development and energy problems in south africa. South africa is one of the most vulnerable parts of the world in terms of projected climate change. Assesses macro and socio economic impacts of climate change by 2050. Poverty and climate change therefore, the task ahead is to increase the adaptive capacity of affected poor communities and countries. Irrigation, hydropower and water related infrastructure roads investments and. This article examines issues around climate change impacts for. The assessment of the socioeconomic impacts of climate change at household level and policy implications 7 other, eventually determines the final welfare impact of climate.
This study aimed to provide a preliminary desktop estimate of the economic impacts of climate change in south africa, based on the findings of the vulnerability and adaptation study for the south african country study on climate change 1999. Water resources are subjected to high hydroclimatic variability over space and time, and are a key constraint. Part 1 of this document examines how climate change is likely to. Rome, food and agriculture organization of the united nations.
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